Broader market update for the week of 10/20/2014 – 10/24/2014.

Our research shows the remainder of the month of October should continue be volatile but with a bias to the upside. Last week our previously forecasted short term tradable bottom held between 15800 and 15950 for the DJIA.  Now we need to see a follow thorough to the 200 day moving average this week. The 200 day sits between 16585 and 16625.   This 200 which was previously support when we were above it, is now overhead resistance. We don’t expect to move right through it without a fight so we should pause and pullback from those levels. By a pullback I mean no lower than 16150 to 16200.  From there we’ll need to bounce and recover quickly and move back up and through the 200 day at 16600. Then continue up to around 17000 or higher.  So based on the detailed forecast of our research the broader markets will need to function in a very structured and measured way.

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Broader market update for the week of 10/13/2014 – 10/17/2014.

We’ll continue to remain on the sidelines and preserve capital. We’ll add no positions until we see further evidence that the broader markets DJIA and S&P 500 can hold current levels for the remainder of this week. Our research shows the remainder of the month of October should continue be incredibly volatile. That volatility soon just might avail itself primarily on the south side below the 200 day moving average. While Sunday night’s futures might give us an early indication and insight as to where we might open early Monday morning, short term it’s really anyone guess where we might end up by the end of the week let alone the end of the month. By the end of the month we expect a short term bottom will be in place. It’s just a matter of where and off what level. The reason why this week is so critical is because we moved through and closed below the 200

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Our cycle downside forecast update for GOLD, Precious metals sector

We’ll be using the GOLD index ETF GLD (Gold Index) for this forecast. This sector continues to drop lately and will continue lower into tax selling, the end of the year and into early 2015. Year end strength in the broader markets will cause additional weakness for precious metals. Our research shows this sector continuing to drop below 100 after the first of the year.  We don’t expect it to gain any traction until the broader markets top out and experience a 20%+ correction in the second half of 2015. If the broader markets experience a melt up dramatic move higher for the rest of this year and into early 2015, the GLD index will take another leg down to our lowest cycle long term price target level of between 88-92.   At 88-92 we would be buyers of the GLD but only hold this limited upside position until the broader markets stop moving down and trough sometime in early

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Broader market forecast update for the week of 10/06/2014 – 10/10/2014

Our research shows continued strength into the first part of this coming week. Strong follow through starting early Monday will be important after this past Friday’s move off just above the 200 day moving average for the broader markets. We’re expecting continued high volatility through the month of October. We’ll be buyers of any weakness at or below the 200 day moving average. Last week we positioned ourselves in a variety of ETF’s and stocks and we expect to have many more this coming week. As stated in almost all or previous broader market forecasts once we’re through the month of October we’re expecting a strong rally into the end of the year. We’re currently compiling a list of January effect stocks for late November through the first part of February. We believe this will be one of the best January seasonal effects ever due to the mid to late year weakness in the small caps and low price

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Mid-week broader market forecast update , October 1, 2014.

Mid-week broader market forecast update , October 1, 2014. So as expected following September window dressing the broader markets open with an October surprise on day one with the DJIA dropping over 238 points. The S&P 500 suffers a similar beating losing over 26 points and the Nasdaq down over 78. Even though our research still shows a year end rally, such an aggressive early October sell-off now raises some additional red flags.  As stated in chat today we’ll continue to remain on the sidelines until we see a retest of the 200 day moving average right around 16580-16620. Based on our research a possible deeper correction below the 200 day moving average is now in play. Back in late July after a double top the Russell 2000 officially started to turn over and hasn’t recovered since. With tax selling season quickly approaching this group may continue to suffer until year end. Our next support level for the Russell

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Broader market forecast update for the week of 9/29/2014 – 10/3/2014

Our research shows we should expect heightened volatility into and throughout the month of October for the DJIA and S&P 500. We’re expecting at some point in the next three weeks a deeper selloff than we had this past week. Whatever the result this coming month we’ll be buyers of any weakness and expect strength into the end of this year and through the beginning of 2015. Please review our previous broader market blog posts over the last month to get our 2015 – 2016 forecast. This coming week we’ll continue to broaden our strategy beyond 3 to 10 day short term stocks and offer many additional alerts to hold into the end of the year. Starting in October we’ll start to put together three different lists of Small cap, Mid cap and Large cap January effect stocks. If done right this is always a very profitable exciting way to start a new year. Check our TradeReversal website front

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Mid-week broader market forecast update, September 25, 2014.

Our research now shows the next downside short term target for the DJIA is 16850. The lower 200 day support level sits right around 16600. This is a 50% mid line cycle neutral point between a low established in early August around 16375 and recent high within the last week just under 17400. Based on our research 16850 should hold. A break below would bring us down to the 200 day at 16600. This is a repeat move that occurred last April after the powerful rally off the February low.  So far nothing has been violated to make us think a large correction has begun. The next employment report might be a catalyst to bring us back to retest highs again over the short term. It’s all about the FED. Next broader market update will be Sunday night.

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Price proceeds fundamentals. Achieving the highest returns possible.

We get in our stocks when our proprietary cycles identify when it is time for the price to reverse higher. The discovery and recovery of fundamentals is not typically recognized until after our reversal price point is alerted and a significant move has begun and a high percent gain has already been achieved. Tim

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Broader market forecast update for the week of 9/22/2014 – 9/26/2014

Our research now shows thanks to last weeks strong record closing performance the DJIA has now officially entered breakout territory above the previous month long tight trading range between 16900 and 17175 . Until this past week the DJIA had lagged the broader market S&P 500 which had a breakout into record territory over three weeks ago. As we move closer to November with both averages continuing to hold above there respective 50 moving averages, the probability of any short term sharp retest of the lower 200 day moving averages becomes less and less likely. Instead a recipe for strength through the end of September should continue uninterrupted with window dressing, triple witching and the end of the fiscal quarter coming to a close. With that said at the end of September the possibility of a retest of the 200 day moving average continues to remain a threat until the end of October. Once officially through the month of

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Broader market forecast update for the week of 9/15/2014 – 9/19/2014

Our research now shows a very strong rally setting up for the broader markets through the end of the year and into 2015. After several weeks of churning in a very tight upper support and resistance channel the broader market indices DJIA and S&P 500 are poised to breakout and make a final sharp melt up move higher for the remainder of 2014 and into early 2015. This final breakout move into 2015 will then set up a 20%+ correction that will commence and not end until sometime in early 2016. From these current levels we are expecting a 50 day retest to occur very soon perhaps within the next few weeks. If we move closer to November without as little as a 50 day retest, a deeper 200 day retest will become less and less likely. With that said a possible retest of the 200 day moving average will continue to be in play between now and the

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Broader market forecast update for the week of 9/8/2014 – 9/12/2014

Our research now shows a very strong rally setting up for the broader markets through the end of September. After ten days of very tight upper channel consolidation for the DJIA between 17,000 and 17,150 we’re now expect a convincing breakout move into new record territory. Once into new higher record territory we’re expecting a move up to 17650 -17800 by the end of September into early October. This now pushes out any possible retest of 200 day moving average into late October or early November. The other possibility is we get a more parabolic melt up of the broader market averages and the 50 day moving average will be the lowest downside support until early next year when a the much larger deeper correction Wall Street’s been anticipating for sometime will commence. Our research cycles clearly show this 20% + correction beginning sometime early next year and lasting through early 2016. This is based on our cycle analysis

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Broader Market Update 8-25-2014 to 8-29-2014

Our research shows the broader markets should push ahead starting early Monday for a retest of last fridays intraday high for the Dow. Last Friday the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a high of 17064 intraday less than 100 points from record highs before pulling back and closing at 17001. The S & P 500 on the other hand late last week was already trading at record highs which means the DJIA is lagging the S & P 500 and still needs to move through its previous record highs. Once the broader market averages are both intrenched in new record territory, the broader market averages should slowly continue to edge higher through the rest of next week and possibly into the first part of September. Overhead resistance will still play a dominate roll limiting how high the broader market averages will move on the short term due to mid August through early October seasonality weakness. Once the Dow Jones

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Broader Market Update 8-22-2014

Based on our research as forecasted just last week, the broader markets have now hit the first area of overhead resistance at or close to record highs. We now see two possible scenarios playing out show term with the end result being the same and that is another retest of the lower 200 day moving averages. From these levels at major resistance the broader market will either hold churn and claw slowly higher for the next 5 to 7 or just drop straight down from here more quickly for the retest. Either way 15-17 days from now the broader market averages should be closer or retesting the 200 day moving average. Because our research anticipated this this higher move off the 200 day over a week ago we sold or lightened up on all of our positions and sold into market rally strength. We’ll now avoid going long any stocks unless exceptionally noted and soon position ourselves in inverse

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Market Update 8-20-2014

 Our research shows we should continue to see broader market strength until we reach and retest recent record level highs achieved less than a month ago. Once at around these record levels we’ll then see another sharp short term 7 to 10 day pullback and retest of the 200 day moving averages for the broader market DJIA and S&P. We’ll continue to exit recently established short term profitable positions before the broader markets go lower. As previously stated we’ll look to go short the broader markets by positioning ourselves in Inverse ETF’s. Check out our newsletter ETFreversal for more information and remember to be prepared and check your email, tablet and mobile devices for our next alerts.

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Market Update 8-19-2014

So as forecasted by our research once again the DJIA is pushing its way higher and closing in on new broader market record highs. Once a retest or close to a retest is complete the markets will then drop and head lower into the month of September and threaten the 200 day support once again. We will continue to sell many of our profitable positions into this current market strength and then position ourselves in short or inverse ETF’s and take advantage of the next short term broader market down turn.  Because we still have two months of typical seasonal weakness the next downside pressured assault on the 200 day broader market averages could result in a further breakdown to lower levels which we previously discussed around 15800.  

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Broader Market update for the week of 8/18/2014 – 8/22/2014

Our research shows after we forecasted last weeks strong move off recent lows and Fridays broader market positive open and subsequent negative downside of 150 points, we now need to consolidate quickly and hold the 200 day moving averages no later than the middle of this upcoming week if we are to resume a strong upward trend and stay on track to attempt a retest of new highs established just over three weeks ago. If we see a retest or break below the 200 day moving average this week, it may put our previously discussed DJIA down side targets of 15,600-15,800 into play. Last week just before Friday’s late morning sharp sell off we sold over 15 stocks and 30 ETF’s sidestepping the 150 point drop. These were positions we bought at recent market lows when the DJIA was trading down around 16300 -16400. For more of our great forecasting and market calls please review our previous broader market

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Broader market update for the week of 8/4/14 – 8/8/14

Our research shows the broader markets will now attempt to hold 200 day support on the DJIA and S&P 500. As we predicted in last weeks broader market update, the broader markets paused (similarly to this time last year in early August 2013) breaking down below their 50 day moving averages resting just above and not far off 200 day support. Our research shows we should see and expect further weakness in the DJIA with a possible break below 16,400 to as low as 16200 before we see a powerful snapback rally which could bring us quickly back to or retest previous highs later this month and into early September.  We view this consolidation as a great buying opportunity and will alert and position ourselves in primarily high quality DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ 100 stocks as well as over 30 ETF’s this coming week. The russell 2000 small cap index has been extremely weak as of late but

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Broader Market update for the week of 8/11/2014 – 8/15/2014.

Our research shows the broader market should push higher this upcoming week and over the next couple of weeks. Early last week we predicted a strong bounce would occur off the 200 day moving average. Fridays rally of almost 200 points on the DJIA sets up the next area of resistance between 16,775 and 16,810. At these levels we should experience a brief pause or pullback before heading higher to challenge previously set record highs achieved just three weeks ago up around 17,000-17,150. Last week after the market was down over 700 points we alerted a combined 47 stocks and ETF’s for or subscribers. We’ll continue to remain cautious and look for short term trading opportunities only unless otherwise noted. Have a great week.

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Broader Market update for the week of 7/7/14 – 7/11/14

Our research shows our previous target of 17700-18200 for the DJIA has been lowered slightly to 17635-18000 but remains on track and should be achieved by early to mid August. We expect one shallow correctional pullback to the 50 day moving average during this time. Once these higher levels are achieved we’ll be on the lookout for a deeper pullback perhaps to the 200 day moving average. We’ll continue to remain cautious and focus primarily on short term trading opportunities. Within the next few weeks we’ll be discussing our updated end of the year target and what we expect into early spring of next year. Have a great week.

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Broader market update for the week of 6/16/2014 – 6/20/2014

Our research shows a DJIA short term trading range between 16100 – 16950 level for this coming week. As of late Sunday night stock futures are showing a negative open for tomorrow Monday the 16th. Any break below last weeks low of around 16700 could bring us down to the 50 day moving average of 16550 to 16600 before the week is out. The lower channel 200 day moving average currently sits at around 16100. We’ll continue to remain cautious and look to take advantage of any short term trading opportunities on any pullbacks this upcoming week. Our two month forecast high of 17800 – 18200 by early August is still in effect.

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Broader market update for the week of 6/9/2014 – 6/13/2014 and forecast into 2016.

Our research shows the broader markets are entering the final euphoric run up which will likely last into the end of the year. Our next upside target for the DJIA is 17700-18200. This target should be achieved within the next two months in early August with one pullback in between. We will stay long and buy any intraday pullbacks until the 17600 level is achieved. Then position ourselves for the end of year push higher above 18,000. Since the 1999 tech wreck the broader markets have experienced 15 years of consolidation. Next year we believe the markets will suffer a substantial correction.. Our research shows DJIA dropping below 11,000 and lasting into early 2016. Next week we’ll provide a hundred year plus chart analysis of the DJIA and explain why we believe this will happen. As the end of the year draws closer we’ll give you our research forecast predictions extending out past 2016.

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Trade Reversal LLC is a research publisher of a multi-newsletter network for all financial instrument types including Stocks, Options, and ETF’s. We offer a collection of specialized newsletters for active traders and longer term investors with different styles of trading (i.e. Swing Trading, Day Trading and Longterm investing ); highly specialized newsletters that cover Technology stocks, Blue Chip stocks, Dividend stocks, Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap stocks, Biotech, Channeling stocks and Volatile stocks. Specialized Sectors such as Biotech, Technology, Retail, Energy, Financial, Solar, Alternative Energy, Cloud Computing, 3D Printing and many others. Please visit our individual newsletters for more information: TradeReversal.com  ETFReversal.com

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